Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.046272 0.050431 0.054656 0.059261 0.064133 0.069126 0.074623
2024-12-15 0.038699 0.044666 0.050962 0.058075 0.065858 0.074089 0.083426
2024-12-22 0.034764 0.042194 0.050297 0.059728 0.070339 0.081845 0.095204
2024-12-29 0.031114 0.039587 0.049115 0.060506 0.073638 0.088190 0.105420
2025-01-05 0.028085 0.037348 0.048060 0.061182 0.076639 0.094093 0.115111
2025-01-12 0.024930 0.034643 0.046191 0.060670 0.078077 0.098078 0.122536
2025-01-19 0.022952 0.033175 0.045630 0.061567 0.081061 0.103790 0.131944
2025-01-26 0.020602 0.031029 0.044055 0.061069 0.082243 0.107289 0.138700
2025-02-02 0.018900 0.029570 0.043213 0.061364 0.084302 0.111778 0.146609
2025-02-09 0.017753 0.028749 0.043101 0.062507 0.087361 0.117455 0.155955
2025-02-16 0.017273 0.028788 0.044077 0.065026 0.092144 0.125266 0.167948
2025-02-23 0.015096 0.026285 0.041530 0.062832 0.090844 0.125488 0.170601
2025-03-02 0.013608 0.024694 0.040164 0.062171 0.091525 0.128236 0.176483
2025-03-09 0.012350 0.023347 0.039057 0.061796 0.092534 0.131383 0.182881
2025-03-16 0.011995 0.023348 0.039837 0.063991 0.096947 0.138898 0.194833
2025-03-23 0.011335 0.022820 0.039819 0.065060 0.099858 0.144507 0.204425
2025-03-30 0.010667 0.022226 0.039663 0.065908 0.102460 0.149726 0.213555
2025-04-06 0.009708 0.021076 0.038619 0.065440 0.103240 0.152557 0.219630
2025-04-13 0.009193 0.020631 0.038604 0.066425 0.105996 0.157980 0.229069
2025-04-20 0.008365 0.019577 0.037597 0.065921 0.106659 0.160625 0.234913
2025-04-27 0.007791 0.018926 0.037176 0.066243 0.108453 0.164764 0.242712
2025-05-04 0.007452 0.018672 0.037364 0.067456 0.111492 0.170575 0.252724
2025-05-11 0.007431 0.019009 0.038505 0.070115 0.116606 0.179213 0.266512